Forecasting the Impact of the Economic Recession on Public Health Financing

Year: 2011
Funding: Quick Strike Research Award
Status: Completed

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The Wisconsin PBRN used national and state-specific data sources to develop a fiscal forecasting model to generate predictions of the total revenue available to each Wisconsin local health department over a four year period. The project developed and validated the model using retrospective data sources, and produced prospective estimates for all local health officials in the state. Findings were disseminated through a peer-reviewed publication and research brief.. The research will assist local officials in anticipating changes in fiscal capacity and adopting strategic responses to maintain core services.




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Andrew Reschovsky, Ph.D.

Susan Zahner, Dr.P.H., RN